data_y - The range representing the array or matrix of dependent data. 3 Dogs Rev FCast Doubles. Design and development by Jay Boice. Are the available odds offering value? Compare with your prediction. Straight Forecast – A straight forecast (or SFC) is one bet involving two selections in the same race to finish 1st and 2nd in the correct order. Bet type Single Double Treble Fourfold Fivefold Sixfold Sevenfold Eightfold Accumulator Trixie Yankee Canadian / Super Yankee Patent Lucky 15 Lucky 31 Lucky 63 Heinz Super Heinz Goliath Super Heinz with Singles Super. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. You can use this calculator while playing or reviewing past hands to work out the odds of you winning or losing. Register using the promo code WELCOME40, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+) within 7 days of registration. Our model’s odds for each game, compared to the consensus odds. 50. Free Betting Calculator: Doubles, Trebles & Accumulators. It also has a stub method you can fill out with your own data - RPICalculator. The more popular route is betting on players to hit a home run. How this works: This forecast is based on 50,000 simulations of the season and updates after every game. However, our other products remain open for use. 5 percent chance of making the playoff or are in the top 25 in at least one of the three rankings we use in our model: FPI, the Elo-based rating or CFP/AP. are favored to wrestle back the crown they earned in '18. Using the same example above, your max potential winnings from the free bet risked on the longer odds is $225. Assume a punter lays a £2 wager on a Trifecta wheel, picking horse number 7 as. Chelsea got past Borussia Dortmund in the Round of 16 thanks to a. Bet Calculator. According to the latest Week 12 NFL odds, Los Angeles is 3. Calculate Your Tricast Bets (Forecast Odds Combination) Sportsbook of the month. The Clemson Tigers (7-4) go on the road to take on the South Carolina Gamecocks (4-6) at Williams-Brice Stadium on Saturday, November 25, 2023. Statistical model by Nate Silver, Jay Boice and Neil Paine. UPDATED Jan. Free Probability calculator - choose r combinations of n options step by stepThe Market Probability Tracker estimates probability distributions implied by the prices of options from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange that reference the three-month compounded average Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR). Afterwards, the amount of forecast bet units bought is multiplied by that dividend to calculate the total payout. Windy conditions are expected tonight at FirstEnergy Stadium and, more importantly, bettors are taking notice. If you are building a forecast that has different price tiers, you may want to create a different forecast for each price tier. The term “forecast betting” can be used generally to cover a range of related bets, including reverse forecasts, tricasts, combination tricasts and more, but here we will focus on the. Similar to your run-of-the-mill bet calculator, our free Single Bet Calculator processes the odds on your selection and lets you know how much you will pocket if your bet comes in. Statistical models by Jay Boice and Nate Silver. Upon winning, the forecast doubles returns are calculated and given to you. With four selections at say 4/1 and a Lucky 15 stake of £1 (total £15) your return would bring in £1,409. 2 Pairs Rev FCast Trebles. 50 plus the original $10. Download forecast data. 49. Bet type Single Double Treble Fourfold Fivefold Sixfold Sevenfold Eightfold Accumulator Trixie Yankee Canadian / Super Yankee Patent Lucky 15 Lucky 31 Lucky 63 Heinz Super Heinz Goliath Super Heinz with Singles Super. To calculate the cost of a tricast bet, multiply the number of selections by one less than the number of selections. A Straight Forecast is the perfect bet for horse- and dog racing because it requires you to predict the top 2 in a given race. 5. √ 16 F. The odds betting companies offer will differ depending on the scenarios to reflect this. A Tricast bet is also known as a Trifecta; in many articles and publications. FORECAST(x, data_y, data_x) x - The value on the x-axis to forecast. Combine the bets to calculate the acca and permutation betting totals using the odds you have placed the. Stake. Odds Scanner is so much more than just a web comparison site. Here, we look at Real Madrid vs. William Hill can calculate the payouts for different types of bets. Bucks 3-2. This would be great for increasing our chances of winning a tricast. Candidates can't be selected if they start off with less than a 1. So, you grab your calculator and punch in 0. 53 for every 1 unit of. However, with the following system your chances of winning a forecast increase to. As stated earlier, you need two different races to be able to compound your odds. FiveThirtyEight's Championship. The remainder of this article provides an overview of a few basic approaches for any bettors seeking to develop their own football betting system. It also uses ESPN’s Football Power Index and the committee’s rankings to forecast teams’ chances of winning. Type the odds into their relevant cell. 30. You can enter your own stake and the odds for a single bet or a range of multiple bets. Min Deposit: £5. The good news is that our parlay calculator works in pretty much the same ways as our tricast bet calculator. At Odds Shark,. Use the Yankee return calculator to work out your winnings online for all sports. The first is an initial random value generated with the NORMINV function. e. 0 scale. A £1 SFC = 1 x £1 unit stake = Total £1. Download this data. 5. Step 1. Golf Tips: Best bets for Joburg Open and Australian PGA Championship; Find Me a 100 Winner: Three to back in South Africa from 129/1 to 349/1 Input your stake: Input the amount of money that you want to place on your combination bet. Statistical model by Nate Silver, Jay Boice and Neil Paine. 2/1) or decimal (e. First of all, you need to decide which type of bet you want, of which we have many, from singles accumulators to goliaths and Lucky 15s, 31s and 63s. 86, for international readers), while their counterpart with a win probability of 46. However, on average, it’s estimated that around 2-3% of MLB games in a 162-game season are postponed or shortened due to weather. How does a snow day Calculator work? Our snow day calculator app usually uses weather statistics like temperature, ice forecasts, timing & magnitude of a snowstorm and historical data on users’ locations takes daily snowfall, cumulative snowfall depth, minimum temperature and minimum temperature (feels like) data into account to. pts. 5 4-point underdog at home. Bears prediction for Week 10's Thursday Night Football matchup based on the top NFL odds. “To Win” indicates any NFL picks -- straight-up or moneyline wagers -- that the player wins. Once you have submitted all of this data, the bet calculator from Paddy will crunch the numbers in seconds and give you the forecast payouts on your bets. 10 per spin) credited on settlement of qualifying Acca bet. This means that you would have captured 63. This Football Prediction uses the new money flow in betting to our advantage. -4. League 2 Betting Odds. By incorporating multiple factors like form and historical data, this method offers a comprehensive approach to predicting the outcome of. South Midwest East West 1ST ROUND 1ST ROUND 2ND ROUND 2ND ROUND SWEET 16 SWEET 16 ELITE EIGHT ELITE EIGHT FINAL FOUR FINAL FOUR CHAMPIONSHIP 16 TX A&M-CC 16 SE Mo. Specify Your Stake: Input the amount you want to wager on your combination. At the women’s World Cup for example, your bet builder. 1 in 100. The Best Poker Hands Calculator. NFL betting with all available match odds, including pre-match and live moneyline, spread, totals and props, plus division, playoff and Super Bowl oddsCalculates theoretical hold including sports betting exchange commissions based on an Excel range of US or decimal odds. We’ve also got our bet calculator – which allows you to calculate your winnings for an array of different bet types including many different. Work out potential winnings for any type of bet or check winning bets have been settled correctly with our bet calculator. In straight betting a bettor can bet on horse to win, place (1st or 2nd) or show (1st, 2nd or 3rd). The first named selection (Tommy’s Boy) must be placed 1st, and the second named. Winner picked. Free Bet stakes are not included in any returns. Seahawks odds analysis. View election betting odds for those. Choose the bet type you want to place. 5 ft increase in the distance of a hit ball. Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 40 leagues, updated after each match. You can. 49% of the. Tricast Calculator. us. Get free picks & predictions. *optional. In this case, the cost of one unit of a straight forecast double is INR 2. The bet calculator allows you to input your stake & odds in American formats to quickly calculate the payout for your bets. The Greyhound Forecast Betting system will cover 12 of the possible 30 winning combinations giving you a 40% chance of success. For example, 10/1 fractional odds are converted to 11 (decimal), 1000 (American) and 9. A Combination Forecast consists of 4 bets that. 65 * 0. First bet must be on Sports. Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 40 leagues, updated after each match. Use our patent betting calculator to find out how much you can make of a winning Patent, and the number of selections you need to win to earn a profit off your Patent bet. select one horse or greyhound by clicking the 'any' box. For example, A bettor can go about a Forecast which is betting on two horses to finish first while the predicting exact order of them hitting the finish line. Our betting odds calculator is flexible and customizable. Treble bet calculator - Combine 3 selections into an each way treble and calculate the returns with this calculator. The return from the first selection is carried forward to provide the stake for the second selection, and the return from the second selection is carried forward to provide the stake for the third selection. Our tricast betting calculator will then show you the number of combinations that bet requires, within a split second! Check your potential winnings on accumulators, Lucky 15s and all your favourite bets with Paddy Power online bet calculator. Democrats win the Senate. 50 plus the original $10. If you worked out a probability (percentage odds), you can convert probability to odds here too. However, the lookahead line during the teams’ bye week was 48 points, and the official Week 11. 10, 2023, at 1:49 PM. 00, and you want to place a £10 bet, a Lucky 15 bet calculator will show you the potential returns for each of the 15 bets, as well as the total return if all four of your selections win. Download this data. UPDATED Jun. From the 10th of May 2022, our Sports betting offers are no longer available to customers in Germany. 00. Choose the type of race and enter the Starting Prices of all runners in a race and then click the Calculate CSF button. 50 Free Spins on Big Bass Bonanza (£0. NBA Score Predictions. Best of luck with all of your 2023-24 betting picks and predictions today. 1. The Ladbrokes Betting Calculator could not be any easier to use. Forecasts are one of a number of bets that can be made on a range of sports but have their roots in, and remain most closely linked to, horse racing betting. A Straight Forecast bet allows you to select two runners where you are predicting which will finish 1st and which will finish 2nd. How to use a Lucky 15 Bet Calculator? Using the Lucky 15 bet calculator is remarkably easy. A Forecast Calculator that can calculate forecast bets on up to 36 greyhound races. Step 1: Enter your odds. Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets. Dickinson 16 TXSO √ 11 Pittsburgh 11 Miss. We’ll talk more about this a bit later. A bet can be broken down into two elements; the Stake - how much you risk. Calculate your bet Total Stake £ 0 Return £ 0 Profit £ 0 Like what you see Place a bet here How to use our Online Bet Calculator First, you should insert the type of bet you want. Three of them - the San Diego Padres, Tampa Bay Rays, and Seattle Mariners - will all head into 2024 with decent odds, while the Milwaukee Brewers are still a viable playoff contender and the Colorado Rockies are the longest of long shots. Note that all selections must finish in a placing position to achieve a return. Enter the “Notional Bet”, which is the amount in dollars that you wish to wager on the reverse bet at a particular sports betting site. LA Rams WR Cooper Kupp led the NFL with 16 receiving TDs last season. Choosing big underdogs for your free bet is usually the best move. 50 – 1. Bovada Sportsbook Review;. Betting odds are being offered on the top touchdown scorers during the 2022-23 NFL season at sportsbooks including FanDuel. Free Bets available upon settlement of the qualifying bet. Dead heats. Trusted by independent bookmakers and punters to work out returns, you can be sure that the calculations are accurate. Raiders. To calculate the odds in favor, simply divide the one possible desired outcome by the total outcomes possible. A forecast is usually returned is to a one-unit stake. To Play 3. At the end of each competition, a computer-generated dividend is provided. Compare how different outcomes on each selection might affect your profits before placing your bet. Enter the details and the betting calculator will predict your earnings and show your anticipated profit. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Our betting odds calculator is perfect for showing you how to calculate potential winnings for all types of sports bets. When you choose the winner in one place, our model updates its projections everywhere else. Use this odds calculator for all types of bet, including each way bets. The present study investigates the. Mama Mia, how the NBA pendulum swings. PoP = 0. A reverse forecast is classed as a single combined bet and is a bet on two selections to finish in the first two positions in any order. These vary by bookmaker, but it is common to receive a 10% bonus on your return if all selections win, and if only one. Be sure to check out your potential winnings and calculate your bet returns with our Accumulator Bet Calculator on Paddy Power News! Football ACCAs Odds ExplainedWouldn’t bet he plays on a short week (Black Friday). Featured Golf. The BPI is the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season. At OddsChecker, we only list the most reputable and trusted US sportsbooks that offer prices on scheduled games in the MLS and across the Atlantic in Europe’s biggest leagues like the EPL, Bundesliga and La Liga. FORECAST(A1,A2:A100,B2:B100) Syntax. The payout calculation consists of multiplying the stakes by the odds and then adding the. Texts to your particular are being altered to gain an advantage is the risk is the main static at 99. data_x - The range representing the array or matrix of independent data. Let’s assume that the computer-generated dividend for race 1 is INR 10, while that of race 2 is INR 11. As Les says, a reverse forecast is simply two straight forecasts. 80. A Combination Forecast consists of 4 bets that. 5 goals predictions. AceOdds provides the most comprehensive and reliable suite of bet calculators, with over 50,000 bets calculated daily. The team would win 5 out of 6 games and lose 1 of them. This bet calculator. 3. Live NFL Odds, Lines, and More. That’s it!2. Saturday's College Football Week 4 weather forecast features strong winds in four key matchups. 33%, and of losing 1/6 = 16. View All 5 Bet365 Codes. Our betting odds calculator takes a step further and calculates the percentage probability of winning and losing. Bet type – for example, a single bet on a particular race or event, an accumulator covering several events or a more complex wager like Yankee or Super Heinz; Odds type – choose for the odds to be represented in fractional (e. To figure the cost: Multiply the number of horses used by the number of horses used less one times $2 wager. 5-point favorites in the latest Auburn vs. In most poker odds calculators, all of these statistics are combined to give. It indicates how much you'd win based on the odds and total wagered. Straight Forecast – A straight forecast (or SFC) is one bet involving two selections in the same race to finish 1st and 2nd in the correct order. Or prove that you made the right play based on the odds shown in the 888poker Poker Calculator. In short, it automatically pulls data from the drawings of those games and identifies the most probable results for you to pick from. The odds are collected from bookmakers that have odds on Eurovision Song Contest 2024. A team that wins with a probability of 53. Each Way Single Bet Calculator. Win more bets with BettingPros. Minimum Temperature (Feels Like)The home of our MLB Predictions. 00, and 5. Bet Builder – A bet builder is a feature of most football betting sites, where punters are able to add multiple selections from different markets and matches into one bet slip. Check your potential winnings on accumulators, Lucky 15s and all your favourite bets with Paddy Power online bet calculator. Deductions resulting from late scratchings. Yes, our odds calculator shows the implied probability of winning your bet outright in an easy to read percentage. 1, when the. For example, the Raiders are +4. A Straight Forecast bet allows you to select two runners where you are predicting which will finish 1st and which will finish 2nd. on a 4. Strong Bet. There are two kinds of tricast bet. The Detroit Lions, Dallas Cowboys, Cleveland Browns, San Francisco 49ers, Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills, Kansas City Chiefs, Miami Dolphins, Los Angeles Rams, Seattle Seahawks, and Los Angeles Chargers have been the most popular picks through the first 11 weeks of the season and will make selecting winners each week an even tougher. State √ 11 Arizona St. Betting odds are frequently found to outperform mathematical models in sports related forecasting tasks, however the factors contributing to betting odds are not fully traceable and in contrast to rating-based forecasts no straightforward measure of team-specific quality is deducible from the betting odds. You can convert your odds between American, decimal and fractional quickly. Joint Fav. Calculating Forecast Single Bet. £30 in Free Bets and £10 in Free Spins (50x20p) credited within 10 hours of bet settlement. As you begin to create your own odds, check them against our top-rated football betting sites with the best odds below:. All selections must win for the bet to generate a return, but the payoff can be worth it when all your choices come in. RCP Betting Average-----Accurate sales forecasts keep your leaders happy and your business healthy. For example, suppose the weather forecast states: Odds in favor of rain: 7 to 3. Summarizing all the 1-step ahead, 2-step ahead and 3-step ahead forecast errors provides a way to calculate prediction intervals. Next, enter the odds for each of the 6 selections, and set them all to ‘Won’. Fractional. • Over1. 25 + 3. Chelsea odds, props, and a prediction for Wednesday’s quarterfinals first-leg match in Madrid. £30 in Free Bets and £10 in Free Spins (50x20p) credited within 10 hours of bet settlement. Using our free tricast betting calculator, we would select Bet options as “normal” and click on the numbers 1, 2 and 3. NFL Odds Calculator: See the projected payouts of your NFL bets. Works simply as an odds converter if no bet is entered. Many punters have moved on from regular win, place or show wager and are now already mastering several types of wager altogether. The Action Network’s Windy Unders PRO Betting System's has been a profitable angle since 2005. The odds are subject to change, and can be seen as bookmakers' prediction of the betting: Who will. Select the ‘Odds’ for each selection. your stake. For instance, if you place a parlay bet on three teams with odds of +200, -150, and +300, the combined odds would be +2700, resulting in a potential payout of $2,700 for a $100 bet. With reverse forecast doubles, you make two or more. 00 in. For example, a wager at +200 in American odds (2/1 in fractional or 3. Reverse forecast. def. Number of Races. By converting fraction to percent, we can say that the chances of winning are 5/6 = 83. Friday at the Breeders’ Cup is the juvenile day where we see a mix of dirt and turf stars of the future strutting their stuff. 80), then. The ‘Number of Selections’ will default to 3 selections. First, head on to the free online bet calculator page and select your bet type,. How this works: These forecasts are based on 50,000 simulations of the rest of the season. To explain why, just think of betting £5 on the outcome of eight Premier League fixtures. Away Win Joyful Honda Tsukuba vs Fukuyama City. 000, but you can still do a rough conversion in order to have a sense of the nearest fractional odds. 833. With 2026 World Cup odds on the board as we look ahead, Kylian Mbappe & Co. If odds are stated. SOFR, published by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York , broadly measures the cost of overnight (one-day) loans. Improve your game and make the. CONS. The following table shows the possible outcomes of the Banker bet,. If you bet $100 on a horse that has +500 odds (5/1), you’ll win $500 if that stallion trots past the finish line before the others. Cleveland Browns Monday Night Football game. 33. Odds displayed in the graphics may not match numeric odds due to rounding. Full data is on a Google Sheet that is available at the bottom of the page. In order to calculate the costs of laying a Trifecta wager, a punter must use the Trifecta calculator, either manually or by a computerized Trifecta calculator. A win wager is as easy as it gets. • Over1. 00 = 3. You can much more easily convert any odds you want with our useful and quick tool. This is accomplished with the functions: AVERAGE (to calculate mean) & STDEV. NFL Betting Analysis. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. The Reverse Bet Calculator is the best way to work with “if bets”. Computer Picks & Predictions For The Top Sports Leagues. The rules followed standard baccarat except on the Banker bet: (1) all wins pay even money, and (2) if the banker wins with a three-card total of 7, then the banker bet will push. This bet calculator calculates the amount you win if your selection wins, or if your selection only places. Learn more. Multiply the $10 by the numerator, which in this case is. Step 3. Step 3. Max Win: $400. Bet £10 Get £40 in Bonuses. Total Risk: $220. A straight forecast bet is a betting scenario in which you select two participants in a single sporting event and state the specific order in which they will finish, first and second. 60 or 60% chance of precipitation. Our traditional model uses Elo ratings (a. Yes, our odds calculator shows the implied probability of winning your bet outright in an easy to read percentage. 5 depending on the sportsbook, but don't be surprised to see this line fall between now and kickoff as more bettors become aware of the latest Chicago weather forecast. 5 and -7 across our best sports betting sites. Betting Odds Calculator. 5% Edge before considering a bet based solely on projections. 2 Pairs Rev FCast Doubles. You don’t need to have an account to use the bet calculator, it is free to use by anybody. This means that a reverse forecast bet placed, for example, on a horse race with more than 15 runners is going to deliver better winning returns than one that has fewer than 10 runners. Fifth, keep an eye on the odds and ensure that you place your bet just before the race. The odds indicate how many times your stake will be multiplied in your total payout. How this works: This forecast is based on 50,000 simulations of the season and updates after every game. You can then adjust your inputs. Detroit is a 8-point favorite in the Lions vs. pts. Let’s put Barcelona’s odds into the formula: Barcelona, therefore, has a 47. Then multiply that by one less than the previous figure e. In this case, it’s 60% for each of the three periods in question. Mean: (µ) Standard Deviation (σ): Left Bound (Lb): For negative infinite, use . Here’s an example. 5 ft increase in the distance of a hit ball. The Allstate Playoff Predictor breaks down which teams have the best chance to make this season's College Football Playoff. This calculator will convert "odds of winning" an event into a probability percentage chance of success. Check out our best Panthers vs. Home | At The RacesMBA Admissions Calculator & Predictor. It is 21. Work out your sports bet returns for: Accumalators, Lucky 15’s, Doubles and more. The payout from your combination forecast will ultimately be determined by the method used by your bookie to calculate dividends – some, like Paddy Power, opt for the fixed odds option. Download this data. You can enter your own stake and the odds for a single bet or a range of multiple bets. If the numbers are chosen from a set and the order of the numbers doesn't matter, use the formula . if I flipped a coin at the beginning of each hour, the odds of a heads are the same as the odds for rain (50%). FiveThirtyEight’s men’s and women’s NCAA Tournament forecasting models calculate the chance of each team reaching each round. Our MLB predictions will include MLB run line predictions, as well as Money line plays and even Over/Under Total Runs for each game. Season. More Details; 11/24/2023 07:40 PM: Boston Celtics (12-3) Orlando Magic. 50, and the odds of +200 would be converted to 3. See also: How this works Global club soccer rankings standings matches + League One 2022-23. Strong Bet. In order to calculate the costs of laying a Trifecta wager, a punter must use the Trifecta calculator, either manually or by a computerized Trifecta calculator. 4. 19 hours ago · Jaguars vs Texans Odds, Picks, and Predictions Week 12: Don't Overlook Zay in Jags Offense. Prediction intervals. 123. AceOdds Bet Calculator Bet Type: Each Way? Number of Selections: Show Rule 4? Summary (Updated Automatically) Stake Type: Stake: Get the bonus code for Bet365. These are the reverse forecast that allows you to pick the horses in any order and a combination forecast involving 3 horses and 6 bets. The Tigers enter the matchup after winning 31-20 over the North Carolina Tar Heels in their last outing on November 18. That represents a very high profit for a modest stake. New 18+ UK customers only. Place bets after knowing the closing odds and line-ups. Double. Supports single bets only. NFL odds hit the board with the NFC North-leading Lions as 7. The teams included above either have at least a 0. The winnings you would receive from a bet is calculated by multiplying your stake by the odds. Also supports treble perms for up to 20 selections, e. net provides a system calculator, with the help of which potential winnings can be easily determined by specifying the type of system, the bet, the odds and the status of the individual bet. m. Forecasts. How to place a forecast bet on horse racing. NBA Odds Calculator: See the projected payouts. A reverse forecast (RF) bet is the simplest form of a combination forecast bet, allowing you to select two contenders to finish 1st and 2nd in a race in any order. Predictions for Today. A Union Jack Patent Bet Forecast Calculator works out the returns of your winnings when placing a bet on nine selections. League 1 Betting Odds. Single. 6%. Packers vs. For this problem, betbuzz. It costs twice more than a straight forecast. Combine the bets to calculate the acca and permutation betting totals using the odds you have placed the bets at. If the dead heat is for first then you should enter 1, if the dead heat is for second then you should enter 2, etc. 11/22/2023. Also, this is very handy when creating your own tissue prices. How this works: We start with the 40,000 simulations that our election forecast runs every time it updates. Make your sports betting experience easier with our overround calculator, find the overround percentage of any given market!These can include Heinz, Super Heinz, Goliath, Yankee, Lucky 15 bets that will allow a win on a wager even if a portion of the selections fails to land. Betting $10 with 7-4 odds would net $17. com. Our treble bet calculator accommodates: Each-way treble bets. It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. This calculator will convert "odds of winning" an event into a probability percentage chance of success. It needs to be the correct order for you to win on the Straight Forecast. Use the calculator below to find the area P shown in the normal distribution, as well as the confidence intervals for a range of confidence levels. It’s probably our easiest calculator to use!Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets. You will then see an instant calculation. as well as your opponents' odds of having those hands. If the forecaster is only 75% sure it will rain (C = 0.